Forecast methodology

The ECG Standard for vehicle logistics forecasting is the result of the 2-year-long Project Caesar carried out within the ECG Capacity Working Group in order to address one of the greatest causes of inefficiency in the industry: the quality and accuracy of forecasting.

Project Caesar began in 2016 under the umbrella of the ECG Capacity Working Group with the aim of analysing forecasting patterns in the FVL industry and identifying good practices and is a great example of OEM-LSP collaboration.

In the first phase of the project two consultancies specialized in the automotive and logistics sector, ICDP and Stetter Consulting, researched the current state of vehicle forecasting and identified best practices by surveying LSPs and OEMs and closely investigating their forecasting processes. Based on this research period, a toolbox of observed good practices was developed. During the second phase, a number of LSPs and OEMs agreed to carry out one-to-one pilots to test the developed toolbox and measure its effect on their forecasting processes. At the end of the second phase, the pilots validated the toolbox and the recommended standard was turned into a manual.

The published ‘ECG Standard for vehicle logistics forecasting’ is meant to be a ‘living’ document which ECG will review and improve. As such we welcome any feedback from users that will help us to do this. If you have any comments or enquiries about any aspect of this manual please contact the ECG Secretariat.