Source: Automotive News Europe, 2021-10-26
Europe's automakers and consumers should brace for another year of supply-chain snarls crimping vehicle output.
Industry association ACEA expects the global chip shortage to stretch into 2022, probably causing members to miss their own production forecasts, according to a document seen by Bloomberg News.
"Car production volumes in Europe will likely be substantially lower than expected this year and next," the group said in an annex to a letter it sent to the European Commission. "Supply will not be in line with demand."
The European car sector is on course to fall short of 2020's disastrous showing after producers in the region logged their worst September sales in more than a quarter century.
The global component shortage that is snarling production lines has caused prices for vehicles -- new and used -- to jump as inventories have dwindled.
The latest assessment from ACEA is a blow to the expectations of some researchers that the semiconductor shortage will subside next year.
IHS Markit expects European car production to climb 16% to almost 18.6m units next year -- output that would bring the industry closer to pre-pandemic levels of around 20m. ACEA will publish its 2022 forecasts early 2022.
The lobby group in its accompanying letter also called for action to reduce dependency on Asian chip suppliers to avoid future supply-chain disruptions.
"The gravity of the situation requires a strong and co-ordinated response across the European Union," ACEA President Oliver Zipse, who is also BMW CEO, wrote in the letter.